Framer

From Epicmafia

• Frames one person every night.
• For that night, the target will appear guilty to cops.
• Sided with the mafia.

[edit] Abilities

Makes one person appear to be guilty to the cops.

[edit] Strategies and Tactics

• Useful in setups involving cops. The village needs to figure out if a guilty report is telling the truth or just a trick by the framer.
• Think in the mindset of a Cop. Who is most likely going to be investigated that night? That's likely the person you want to frame.
• Unless there are multiple investigative roles, it's not a good idea to frame a Cop or anyone who you know he has confirmed. Framing Millers is also, obviously, a bad idea.

[edit] Probabilities and Framers

In a game with one framer, the probability the framer frames any one role is 1/(living villagers). The probability that the cop investigates any one role is 1/(living players-living cops). The probability that the cop investigates the person whom the framer frames is 1/[(living villagers)*(living players-living cops)]. The probability that the cop's investigation gives a guilty result is at most [(living mafia)+(living framers)+(living millers)]/(living players-living cops). (If there are millers in the game, it's possible that the miller could be framed, which reduces the probability of a guilty report.)

Overall, most games with framers have only 1 framer and 0-1 millers. As a result, it is usually the case (especially early in the game, when most of the mafia are alive) that a guilty report is more likely to be mafia than it is to be a framed villager or miller. Therefore, statistically speaking, guilty reports should be lynched early in the game as long as the number of mafia exceeds the number of framers and millers.

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